HDO8 Predictions

[Okey_Dokey]

Prediction threads have a tradition on HardDrop. So, here's one for Hard Drop Open VIII. You can find the brackets here.
Under circumstances, the user with the best predictions will get a colored Shoutbox name (will have to ask Blink).

My predictions (probably not even possible, didn't check the brackets):

1st place: SlickaLei (LapSiLap)
2nd place: Martin (martinc2381)
3rd place: z2sam
4th place: iljain
5th, 6th place: leilickan, *Teddy*
7th, 8th place: Franckow, ProMouse (Delfinaa)
9th to 12th place: Twirler (apm10), Azteca, Jes, coco martinz
13th to 16th place: r3hab (piper), Mistborn (Goldenshadow), SlowNoob (ISuckAtTetrisALot), DNLF (DanielFoster)

honorable mentions: tatianyi, crzy242, Squirtle_ (jackh1771), 0t_ (ZeroT), Explo (Danieru),
. . . . . goonerJimmy (JimmyX), blaataap, Corona..., billy, elderSloth (officegunner), Bogus

Best prediction will be determined by using the following score system:

• winner: 3 points if predicted correctly, 2 points if guessed as 2nd, 1 point if guessed as 3rd
• runner up: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 1st or 3rd
• 3rd place: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 2nd or 4th
• 4th place: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 3rd or 5th/6th
• 5th/6th place: 1 point if predicted correctly, 0.5 point if guessed as 4th or 7th/8th
• 7th/8th place:  1 point if predicted correctly, 0.5 point if guessed as 5th/6th or 9th-12th
• 9th-12th place: 0.5 points if predicted correctly
• 13th-16th place: 0.5 points if predicted correctly

[Danieru]

Prediction threads have a tradition on HardDrop. So, here's one for Hard Drop Open VIII. You can find the brackets here.
Under circumstances, the user with the best predictions will get a colored Shoutbox name (will have to ask Blink).

My predictions (probably not even possible, didn't check the brackets):

1st place: SlickaLei (LapSiLap)
2nd place: Martin (martinc2381)
3rd place: z2sam
4th place: iljain
5th, 6th place: leilickan, *Teddy*
7th, 8th place: Franckow, ProMouse (Delfinaa)
9th to 12th place: Twirler (apm10), Azteca, Jes, coco martinz
13th to 16th place: r3hab (piper), Mistborn (Goldenshadow), SlowNoob (ISuckAtTetrisALot), DNLF (DanielFoster)

honorable mentions: tatianyi, crzy242, Squirtle_ (jackh1771), 0t_ (ZeroT), Explo (Danieru),
. . . . . goonerJimmy (JimmyX), blaataap, Corona..., billy, elderSloth (officegunner), Bogus

Best prediction will be determined by using the following score system:

• winner: 3 points if predicted correctly, 2 points if guessed as 2nd, 1 point if guessed as 3rd
• runner up: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 1st or 3rd
• 3rd place: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 2nd or 4th
• 4th place: 2 points if predicted correctly, 1 point if guessed as 3rd or 5th/6th
• 5th/6th place: 1 point if predicted correctly, 0.5 point if guessed as 4th or 7th/8th
• 7th/8th place:  1 point if predicted correctly, 0.5 point if guessed as 5th/6th or 9th-12th
• 9th-12th place: 0.5 points if predicted correctly
• 13th-16th place: 0.5 points if predicted correctly

Winner - Martin

runner up - iljain

3rd - Franckow 4th - Twirler 5th - z2sam 6th - Azteca 7th - *Teddy* 8th - Jes.

Not guessing for the rest, because players are too close in skill.

[z2sam]

1st place: Martin
2nd place: ProMouse
3rd place: iljain
4th place: SlickaLei
5th, 6th place: Jes, Franckow
7th, 8th place: Twirler, leilickan
9th to 12th place: z2sam, r3hab, Azteca, crzy242
13th to 16th hmmm enough wild guesses

[z2sam]

1st place: Martin
2nd place: ProMouse
3rd place: iljain
4th place: SlickaLei
5th, 6th place: Jes, Franckow
7th, 8th place: Twirler, leilickan
9th to 12th place: z2sam, r3hab, Azteca, crzy242
13th to 16th hmmm enough wild guesses

ouch fail

[noelnadal]

What is the deadline for making predictions ? I guess there is one, since otherwise it would be too easy to make a prediction late in the tournament.

[Okey_Dokey]

What is the deadline for making predictions ? I guess there is one, since otherwise it would be too easy to make a prediction late in the tournament.

Let's say seven further days (next Sunday, 11:59 pm PST). Not that anyone would take that prediction thing too seriously. The third round of the winner bracket shouldn't be played until then (2nd round already gives some useful information but I don't want to run this thread so shortly).

[crzy242]

Even though I know next to nothing about c2:

1st: Martin
2nd: ProMouse
3rd: Frankcow
4th: SlickaLei
5, 6: Jes, Iljain
7, 8: twirler, leilickan
9-12: z2sam, Explo, *Teddy*, r3hab
13-16: Mistborn, Azteca, cocomartinz, billy (go Aussies!)

[LapSiLap]

1st place: leilickan
2nd place: Martin
3rd place: Franckow
4th place: iljain
5th, 6th place: SlickaLei, ProMouse
7th, 8th place: Azteca, Jes
9th to 12th place: Twirler, teddy, coco martinz, crzy242
13th to 16th place: r3hab (piper), Mistborn (Goldenshadow), SlowNoob (ISuckAtTetrisALot), DNLF (DanielFoster)

[kb1900]

1. Martin
2. Iljain
3. Slicka
4. Leila
5-6. Delfina/Franco
7-8. Jes, twirler
9-12. Teddy, r3hab, Billy, Corona
13-16. Mistborn, coco, z2sam, crzy242

[DANIELFOSTER]

1. martin
2. slicka
3. iljain
4. promouse
dunno rest

[Okey_Dokey]

Last day to make predictions. Sorry that the tournament is currently on hold. Judging from the few games played till now, my prediction didn't turn out that well. I was off beam with my insider tips (z2sam having a new laptop, DNLF being among the best in 40 lines) and I didn't know SlowNoob didn't play Cultris II before. And I should have listed Pillemarisk and down-r-up-l in the honorable mentions.

[Okey_Dokey]

I went through the predictions to see who is the most favored player. The following list contains all players who made it into the top 8 of at least one prediction, together with the sum and average of their predicted positions (summand is 9 if player didn't make it into top 8 ).

Code Select Expand

Predictions in the following order:
OkeyDokey, Danieru, z2sam, crzy242, LapSiLap, kb1900, DANIELFOSTER

Martin:    2 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 2 + 1 + 1 , sum =  9 , avg = 1.29
iljain:    4 + 2 + 3 + 5 + 4 + 2 + 3 , sum = 23 , avg = 3.29
SlickaLei: 1 + 9 + 4 + 4 + 5 + 3 + 2 , sum = 28 , avg = 4.00
Franckow:  7 + 3 + 5 + 3 + 3 + 5 + 6 , sum = 32 , avg = 4.57
ProMouse:  7 + 9 + 2 + 2 + 5 + 5 + 4 , sum = 34 , avg = 4.86
leilickan: 5 + 9 + 7 + 7 + 1 + 4 + 6 , sum = 39 , avg = 5.57
Jes:       9 + 7 + 5 + 5 + 7 + 7 + 6 , sum = 46 , avg = 6.57
Twirler:   9 + 4 + 7 + 7 + 9 + 7 + 6 , sum = 49 , avg = 7.00
z2sam:     3 + 5 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 6 , sum = 50 , avg = 7.14
*Teddy*:   5 + 7 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 9 + 6 , sum = 54 , avg = 7.71
Azteca:    9 + 5 + 9 + 9 + 7 + 9 + 6 , sum = 54 , avg = 7.71


[Blink]

1. Lapsi
2. iljain
3. Martin

[Okey_Dokey]

Tournament has ended. Here are the final results:
[spoiler]1st: Martin
2nd: ProMouse
3rd: r3hab
4th: leilickan
5th, 6th: SlickaLei, iljain
7th, 8th: Franckow, coco martinz
9th to 12th: Jes, twirler, elderSloth, *Teddy*
13th to 16th: MistBorn, Explo, billy, z2sam
[/spoiler]
Resulting in the following points rewarded for correct predictions:
(I broke it down to the first 8 predictions and so on because not everybody listed 16 names)

Code Select Expand

          top8  9-12   13+
OkeyDokey: 4.5 + 1.5 + 0.5 = 6.5 points
Danieru  : 3.0             = 3.0 points
z2sam    : 6.0 + 0.0       = 6.0 points
crzy242  : 6.5 + 0.5 + 1.0 = 8.0 points
LapSiLap : 3.5 + 1.5 + 0.5 = 5.5 points
kb1900   : 5.5 + 0.5 + 1.0 = 7.0 points
DanielF. : 3.0             = 3.0 points

So, crzy242 made the best predictions. I haven't contacted blink yet for a best prediction prize, but pretty sure crzy242 can choose a shoutbox color if he wants.

Here's a more detailed version where the points came from:

OkeyDokey:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1st place: SlickaLei -> 5th -> 0 points
2nd place: Martin -> 1st -> 2 points
3rd place: z2sam -> 13th -> 0 points
4th place: iljain -> 5th -> 0.5 points
5th, 6th place: leilickan -> 4th -> 1 point
                *Teddy* -> 9th -> 0 points
7th, 8th place: Franckow -> 7th -> 1 point
                ProMouse -> 2nd -> 0 points
9th to 12th place: Twirler -> 9th -> 0.5 points
                   Azteca -> 0 points
                   Jes -> 9th -> 0.5 points
                   coco martinz -> 7th -> 0.5 points
13th to 16th place: r3hab -> 3rd -> 0 points
                    Mistborn -> 13th -> 0.5 points
                    SlowNoob -> 0 points
                    DNLF -> 0 points
8 predictions -> 4.5 points
12 predictions -> 6 points
16 predictions -> 6.5 points[/spoiler]
Danieru:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

Winner - Martin -> 1st -> 3 points
runner up - iljain -> 5th -> 0 points
3rd - Franckow -> 7th -> 0 points
4th - Twirler  -> 9th -> 0 points
5th - z2sam -> 13th -> 0 points
      Azteca  -> 0 points
7th - *Teddy* -> 9th -> 0 points
      Jes -> 9th -> 0 points
8 predictions -> 3 points[/spoiler]
z2sam:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1st place: Martin -> 1st -> 3 points
2nd place: ProMouse -> 2nd  -> 2 points
3rd place: iljain -> 5th -> 0 points
4th place: SlickaLei -> 5th -> 0.5 points
5th, 6th place: Jes -> 9th -> 0 points
                Franckow -> 7th -> 0.5 points
7th, 8th place: Twirler -> 9th -> 0 points
                leilickan -> 4th -> 0 points
9th to 12th place: z2sam -> 13th -> 0 points
                   r3hab -> 3rd -> 0 points
                   Azteca -> 0 points
                   crzy242 -> 0 points
13th to 16th hmmm enough wild guesses
8 predictions -> 6 points
12 pedictions -> 6 points[/spoiler]
crzy242:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1st: Martin -> 1st -> 3 points
2nd: ProMouse -> 2nd -> 2 points
3rd: Frankcow -> 7th -> 0 points
4th: SlickaLei -> 5th -> 0.5 points
5, 6: Jes -> 9th -> 0 points
      Iljain -> 5th -> 1 point
7, 8: twirler -> 9th -> 0 points
      leilickan -> 4th -> 0 points
9-12: z2sam -> 13th -> 0 points
      Explo -> 13th -> 0 points
      *Teddy* -> 9th -> 0.5 points
      r3hab -> 3rd -> 0 points
13-16: Mistborn -> 13th -> 0.5 points
       Azteca -> 0 points
       cocomartinz -> 7th -> 0 points
       billy -> 13th -> 0.5 points
8 predictions -> 6.5 points
12 predictions -> 7 points
16 predictions -> 8 points[/spoiler]
LapSiLap:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1st place: leilickan -> 4th -> 0 points
2nd place: Martin -> 1st -> 2 points
3rd place: Franckow -> 7th -> 0 points
4th place: iljain -> 5th -> 0.5 points
5th, 6th place: SlickaLei -> 5th -> 1 points
                ProMouse -> 2nd -> 0 points
7th, 8th place: Azteca -> 0 points
                Jes -> 9th -> 0 points
9th to 12th place: Twirler -> 9th -> 0.5 points
                   teddy -> 9th -> 0.5 points
                   coco martinz -> 7th -> 0.5 points
                   crzy242 -> 0 points
13th to 16th place: r3hab -> 3rd -> 0 points
                    Mistborn -> 13th -> 0.5 points
                    SlowNoob -> 0 points
                    DNLF -> 0 points
8 predictions -> 3.5 points
12 predictions -> 5 points
16 predictions -> 5.5 points[/spoiler]
kb1900:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1. Martin -> 1st -> 3 points
2. Iljain -> 5th -> 0 points
3. Slicka -> 5th -> 0 points
4. Leila -> 4th -> 2 points
5-6. Delfina -> 2nd -> 0 points
     Franco -> 7th -> 0.5 points
7-8. Jes -> 9th -> 0 points
     twirler -> 9th -> 0 points
9-12. Teddy -> 9th -> 0.5 points
      r3hab -> 3rd -> 0 points
      Billy -> 13th -> 0 points
      Corona -> 0 points
13-16. Mistborn -> 13th -> 0.5 points
       coco -> 7th -> 0 points
       z2sam -> 13th -> 0.5 points
       crzy242 -> 0 points
8 predictions -> 5.5 points
12 predictions -> 6 points
16 predictions -> 7 points[/spoiler]
DANIELFOSTER:
[spoiler]

Code Select Expand

1. martin -> 1st -> 3 points
2. slicka -> 5th -> 0 points
3. iljain -> 5th -> 0 points
4. promouse -> 2nd -> 0 points
dunno rest
8 predictions -> 3 points[/spoiler]

[leilickan]

Is your counting correct?

Is there no 6th place?
I only see me as 4th, lapsi and iljain 5th and suddenly franco and coco as 7th lol